The Australian dollar has been unable to make headway. So, AUD/USD retreated to lows below 0.6720 during Thursday's Asian session before a recovery to 0.6740. The pair remains close to 10-year lows just below 0.6700 registered earlier in August.
The latest Australian macroeconomic data remained weak with business investment declining 0.5% in the second quarter following a revised 1.3% decline in the first quarter. There was also a sharp 7.2% drop in new home sales following a 12.4% slump in the previous month.
There was, however, a 2.5% increase in plant and machinery spending which is a key component in the GDP calculation.
Domestic bond yields remain close to record lows with the benchmark 10-year yield around 0.88% with negative yields in real terms. The bond market is overbought given domestic inflation trends.
Second-quarter GDP data will be released next Wednesday and growth will also be supported by robust government spending.
The Reserve Bank of Australian will announce its latest interest rate decision on Tuesday with interest rates expected to be held at 1.00%.
Global trade and growth fears will continue to determine market sentiment in the short term with fears that the US-China trade war will severely damage growth. Inevitably, AUD/USD will be driven by trade headlines.
Australia's trade surplus hit a record high in July. Copper managed to recover from 2-year lows recorded earlier this week with iron ore prices also making strong gains on Thursday. Gold is trading near 6-year highs while silver remains at 28-month highs.
Despite the gloomy market mood, the Baltic dry bulk index which is an index of activity in the shipping sector has strengthened to the highest level since late 2013 which suggests that underlying global trade conditions have held firm.
CFTC data recorded little change in the latest week and close to record highs, indicating prospects for short covering if sentiment shifts.
Technically, there should be strong AUD/USD support into the 0.6700 area.
看起來一切似乎都無關緊要。有人會認為,在白宮與英國和中國簽署貿易協議,並且唐納·川普訪問中東之後,S&P 500 會開始失去動力。
英鎊/美元貨幣對在週五延續橫向波動的趨勢,這一趨勢已經持續了一個月。正如4小時圖表清晰顯示,該價格主要在橫向移動。
歐元/美元貨幣對在週五以小幅下跌作收,且整體波動性經過"瘋狂的四月"後已減少。儘管美元已經增強超過一個月,但這一增長看起來相當疲弱。
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