The gold market continues to struggle because investors are reacting to the hawkish rhetoric of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
Until three weeks ago, investors were all about keeping gold in their portfolio, trying to protect themselves from rising inflationary pressures. But now the Fed appears to be taking the threat more seriously, which, in turn, raises expectations for tighter monetary policy in the near future. Many anticipate an announcement of a much faster reduction of bond purchases in December.
But even if expectations begin to change, the broader investment landscape remains the same. Despite Powell's new aggressive stance, most economists and market analysts believe the Fed will lag behind the inflation curve. This means that real interest rates will remain negative, which will be good for gold.
Leigh Goehring, managing partner of Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, said the long-term target for gold is $ 20,000 per ounce.
"We're getting closer to the explosion of gold prices to the upside. I'm a big believer that inflation is not going away. It's going to continue to be a problem," he said.
Meanwhile, Gerald Moser, chief market strategist at Barclays Bank, said gold prices will rise 20% over the next 12 months.
Although investors are ignoring gold as a hedge against inflation, other central banks are paying much more attention to it. The central bank of Singapore and the central bank of Ireland bought gold for the first time in decades.
Singapore reportedly bought 26.35 metric tons of gold between May and June, which was the first gold purchase by an Asian central bank since 2000. Ireland, on the other hand, bought two tons of gold, its first purchase since 2009.
Ireland's central bank governor, Gabriel Makhlouf, also said inflation was a growing concern for him.
投資者對於唐納德·特朗普緊跟股市走勢充滿信心,因此標普500指數不再需要特別的理由上漲。這個廣泛的股權指數原本在等待來自中國的好消息,但阿里巴巴的財報令投資者失望。
週四發布的 GDP 報告顯示,日本經濟在第一季度同比萎縮 0.7%,這是過去一年中的首次年度下降,且情況遠壞於預期。 經濟萎縮主要歸因於美國執行的貿易關稅和出口減少。
市場已經完全反映了美國與中國會談的結果,該會談導致達成了為期 90 天的貿易休戰。比預期疲軟的美國經濟數據抵消了週初的樂觀情緒。
週四,英鎊/美元貨幣對橫盤整理,波動性低,這是過去一個月英鎊的典型行為模式。首先出現了典型的水平區間,現在我們看到了帶有輕微下行趨勢的「波動」。
週四,歐元/美元貨幣對雙向波動,但最終仍保持在移動平均線下方。它位於移動平均線下方的位置使我們預期美元將進一步增強。
上週,唐納·川普宣布在他的「美國解放運動」下,與英國簽署了第一份協議。後來揭示該協議尚未簽署,談判可能還需要幾週時間。
中國商品正在大量湧入歐洲市場,但歐元/美元的多頭並未因此感到恐慌。儘管美國已經減少了從中國進口的關稅,但加權平均關稅仍然高達39%——這是一個顯著的高比率。
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