EUR/USD
The Federal Reserve's statement: "Recent indicators of spending and production have softened. Nonetheless, job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting supply and demand imbalances related to the pandemic, higher food and energy prices, and broader price pressure.
Russia's war against Ukraine is causing tremendous human and economic hardship. The war and related events are creating additional upward pressure on inflation and are weighing on global economic activity. The Committee is highly attentive to inflation risks.
The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. In support of these goals, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal fund rate to 2-1/4 to 1-1/2 percent and anticipates ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency-mortgage-backed securities, as described in the Plans for Reducing the Size of the Federal Reserve's Balance Sheet that were issued in May. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.
In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming inflation for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assignments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on public health, labor market, conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.
Voting for the monetary policy action were Jerome H. Powell, Chair; John C. Williams, Vice Chair; Michael S. Barr; Michelle W. Bowman; Lael Brainard; James Bullard; Susan M. Collins; Lisa D. Cook; Esther L. George; Phillip N. Jefferson; Loretta J. Mester; and Christopher J. Waller."
未來一週,美國不會有許多重要的新聞事件——除非有人試圖揭露橢圓辦公室中發生的事情。長年以來一直是這樣的:每個月下半月通常比上半月安靜許多。
即將到來的一週,英國的新聞背景將與歐洲類似,意義不大。然而,有一份英國的報告不容忽視,即四月份的消費者物價指數(CPI)。
如近月來的常態一樣,經濟新聞對金融工具的影響非常有限。Donald Trump及其貿易政策仍然是主要的市場推動力,而此政策也超越了國際貿易範疇。
在歐洲時段的前半段,金價再次面臨日內壓力,在周五跌破3200美元的關鍵心理價位。圍繞中美貿易休戰的樂觀情緒繼續削弱對傳統避險資產的需求,阻礙了該金屬獲益於前一天強勁反彈的機會。
投資者對於唐納德·特朗普緊跟股市走勢充滿信心,因此標普500指數不再需要特別的理由上漲。這個廣泛的股權指數原本在等待來自中國的好消息,但阿里巴巴的財報令投資者失望。
週四發布的 GDP 報告顯示,日本經濟在第一季度同比萎縮 0.7%,這是過去一年中的首次年度下降,且情況遠壞於預期。 經濟萎縮主要歸因於美國執行的貿易關稅和出口減少。
市場已經完全反映了美國與中國會談的結果,該會談導致達成了為期 90 天的貿易休戰。比預期疲軟的美國經濟數據抵消了週初的樂觀情緒。
週四,英鎊/美元貨幣對橫盤整理,波動性低,這是過去一個月英鎊的典型行為模式。首先出現了典型的水平區間,現在我們看到了帶有輕微下行趨勢的「波動」。
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