EUR/USD rose through the 1.0950-60 area on Tuesday, hitting the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the earlier drop between 1.1275 and 1.0450 levels respectively. The single currency pair is seen to be trading close to 1.0955 at this point in writing and could turn lower from here soon. The initial support is at 1.0825 and the bears would be targeting that for now.
EUR/USD might have completed a flat corrective structure, which began from the 1.0450 lows earlier. Ideally, the bears should be back in control from here and resume lower towards its larger-degree downtrend and break below 1.0450 going forward. Prices should stay below 1.1275 to keep the above bearish structure intact.
EUR/USD is also indicating a bearish divergence on the 4H RSI as highlighted on the chart here. As prices rallied past the 1.0960 high, the RSI failed to break higher, which is a highly probable indicator of a potential turn ahead. Only a significant push above 1.1100 would nullify the above bearish structure. For now, the bears are poised to break below 1.0825.
A potential trend reversal against 1.1275 to resume soon.
Good luck!
歐元/美元貨幣對在周三的一半時間內出現了上升趨勢。雖然這次歐元的最新「激增」尤其「令人印象深刻」,但很可能只是美元的又一次下跌。
EUR/USD 貨幣對在週三繼續上行,但僅是短暫的。在下午時段,歐元開始下跌,儘管缺乏支持此類變動的宏觀經濟因素。
週二,英鎊/美元貨幣對經歷了顯著增長,儘管背後並無明確的推動因素。週一,美元因為特定原因走強,但週二卻毫無原因地下跌,只因為這就是美元。
週二,英鎊兌美元貨幣對輕鬆從週一的損失中恢復過來。我們再次觀察到,英鎊上漲的幅度比歐元大,下降時更為溫和。
歐元/美元貨幣對輕鬆收復了週一的大部分失地。週一有報導稱,中美之間的進口關稅已經降低,這可以合理地看作是貿易戰降溫的跡象。
週一,英鎊/美元組合也大幅下跌,不過更準確的說法是美元顯示出強勁的增長。近幾個月來,幾乎所有市場的波動都與美元有關。
週一,歐元/美元貨幣對大幅下跌。交易者可能已經習慣於美國美元無法顯著增長的想法,但我們曾警告,如果貿易戰的升級出現逆轉,美元將升值。
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