藍線-斐波納契回撤水平
美元指數在102.86附近交易,此前曾低至102.44。符合預期,美元指數已達到整體上升的61.8%的斐波納契回撤水平。通常在該回撤水平處,我們可以看到趨勢反轉。目前,美元指數正在反彈回撤水平。從技術面上看,價格持續創造較低的低點和較低的高點,趨勢仍然看跌。在目前水平上,我更偏向於保持中立或看漲。RSI已經達到超賣水平,再加上我們正在61.8%回撤水平附近交易,趨勢反轉的可能性增加了。
從美元/瑞士法郎(USD/CHF)主要貨幣對的4小時圖表中,我們可以看到一些有趣的信息,首先是USD/CHF的價格走勢與隨機指標(Stochastic Oscillator)之間出現了背離,其次出現了看跌123形態,隨後伴隨著幾個看跌的羅斯鉤。基於這些數據,我們可以看出USD/CHF目前仍受到賣方的壓力,即便有加強修正的潛力,但只要未突破並收於0.8365關口之上,USD/CHF將繼續走弱至0.8185作為其主要目標,及0.8085作為下一目標。
周三,歐元成功穩定於1.1266水平和均衡指標線之上。下一個目標水平是1.1420和1.1535。
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