在美国盘初,欧元兑美元汇率约为1.0736,低于21日简单移动平均线(SMA),也低于0/8穆雷水平。自欧元汇率触及1.0694的低点以来,汇率一直在反弹,现在正接近一个关键点,如果欧元在接下来的几个小时内稳定在1.0745以上,或许有机会继续上涨。
相反,如果欧元跌破1.0740,我们可能会看到熊市周期重新开始,欧元兑美元汇率可能回落至1.0700左右的水平,甚至可能触及-1/8穆雷水平,约为1.0681。
如果欧元在接下来的几个小时内迅速突破21日简单移动平均线,我们对欧元持乐观看法。那时,欧元兑美元汇率可能达到1/8穆雷水平,约为1.0803,最终可能触及熊市趋势通道的顶部,与200日指数移动平均线(EMA)相符,约为1.0833。
日内的主要支撑位点在1.0715。只要欧元兑美元汇率在这个区域上方交投,市场看法可能是积极的。美国的数据将在接下来的几个小时内发布。如果欧元汇率下跌并在这个水平上反弹,那将被视为买入机会。相反,如果欧元跌破这个区域,下跌势头可能会加速,我们应该避免买入。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
截至週五,美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓,這是由多種負面因素所引發的。 昨日,美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,令美元多頭處於守勢。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
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