20.02.2025 12:44 PM
黃金持續強勁上升勢頭，突破至歷史新高的$2,950以上。此波漲勢主要受到市場擔憂美國總統唐納德·特朗普提議的關稅可能引發全球貿易戰，從而增加對黃金作為避險資產需求的推動。此外，美國國債收益率的下降進一步支持了黃金市場的看漲情緒。
聯邦公開市場委員會（FOMC）週三公佈的會議紀要確認了市場預期，即美聯儲將在較長一段時間內維持政策不變。雖然這可能會阻止交易者開設新倉位，有可能限制黃金的漲幅，但整體的基本面背景仍維持看漲，表明XAU/USD的最小阻力路徑仍然向上。
黃金技術展望（XAU/USD）
從技術角度看，日線相對強弱指數（RSI）在70以上交易，顯示超買情況，需多頭保持謹慎。這暗示著黃金價格可能會在每週範圍內整固，然後再嘗試向上突破。
短期趨勢仍然看漲，若能持續突破$2,945–2,950阻力區域，可能為進一步上漲鋪平道路。
主要支持與阻力水準：
直接支撐位在$2,930，其次是昨天的低點$2,918和心理水準$2,900。
如跌破$2,900，可能導致更深的回調至$2,880，且進一步下跌潛力可延伸至$2,860–2,855區域與$2,834支撐位。
若賣壓加劇，黃金可能跌至$2,815，然后是$2,800以及關鍵支撐區$2,785–2,784。
另一方面，若明確突破$2,950，將確認看漲動能，潛在推動黃金價格在接下來的交易中朝向$3,000甚至更高。
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