昨日,標普500指數達到了其支撐目標水平5516,這與2024年6月20日觀察到的高峰相符。這一水平同時也與自2022年10月以來增長的23.6%斐波那契回撤相一致。此外,馬林振盪指標出現了上升趨勢。
即使我們假設股市目前正處於危機中,由於投資者中尚未出現恐慌情緒,修正性反彈仍有可能發生。據多家商業媒體報導,那些相信持續增長的風險承擔者已開始買入,並將當前價格視為具有吸引力的長期進場點。此次修正的最近目標是5670。如果突破此阻力位,將為達到1月13日低點的5769鋪平道路。若突破5881–5910的範圍,將確認市場有意創造新的歷史高點。
在H4圖表上,價格與Marlin振盪指標之間出現了一種趨同現象。振盪指標的信號線正接近正區域。若能穩固在5670以上,這也意味著突破了MACD線,可能會進一步推動價格向5769邁進。
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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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