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02.04.2025 04:49 AM
2025年4月2日英鎊/美元預測

昨日英國3月份製造業活動數據顯示,由46.9下降至44.9。相較於美國指數由52.7下降至50.2,英國指數的跌幅看來令人沮喪——特別是因為這是自2023年10月以來的最低數字。投資者將英鎊稍微拉低,但在一天結束時,英鎊回到了之前的水準,期待即將發布的「關稅公告」。

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從媒體反映的情況來看,市場預期依然保持適度樂觀——也就是說,英國的關稅將比歐洲大陸更寬鬆。我們同意這一評估,並預期英鎊將從1.3001上升至1.3101。Marlin振盪指標已經進入負值區域,但似乎準備橫向穩定。

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在 H4 圖表上,價格在平衡線附近掙扎。如要多頭加強其地位,價格必須保持在 MACD 線之上 —— 即 1.2933 之上。此時,目標位 1.3001 將變得可實現。Marlin 振盪器正試圖進入正值區域,並且接近實現 —— 這是主要情境。

若要發展空頭情境,價格需要跌破 1.2816/47 區間。這將打開通往 1.2714 目標的道路。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025
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