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07.12.2021 11:30 AM
The gold market continues to struggle because investors are reacting to the hawkish rhetoric of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
Until three weeks ago, investors were all about keeping gold in their portfolio, trying to protect themselves from rising inflationary pressures. But now the Fed appears to be taking the threat more seriously, which, in turn, raises expectations for tighter monetary policy in the near future. Many anticipate an announcement of a much faster reduction of bond purchases in December.
But even if expectations begin to change, the broader investment landscape remains the same. Despite Powell's new aggressive stance, most economists and market analysts believe the Fed will lag behind the inflation curve. This means that real interest rates will remain negative, which will be good for gold.
Leigh Goehring, managing partner of Goehring & Rozencwajg Associates, said the long-term target for gold is $ 20,000 per ounce.
"We're getting closer to the explosion of gold prices to the upside. I'm a big believer that inflation is not going away. It's going to continue to be a problem," he said.
Meanwhile, Gerald Moser, chief market strategist at Barclays Bank, said gold prices will rise 20% over the next 12 months.
Although investors are ignoring gold as a hedge against inflation, other central banks are paying much more attention to it. The central bank of Singapore and the central bank of Ireland bought gold for the first time in decades.
Singapore reportedly bought 26.35 metric tons of gold between May and June, which was the first gold purchase by an Asian central bank since 2000. Ireland, on the other hand, bought two tons of gold, its first purchase since 2009.
Ireland's central bank governor, Gabriel Makhlouf, also said inflation was a growing concern for him.
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