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02.05.2023 05:31 PMThe EUR/USD pair extended its downside movement and now is trading at 1.0954 at the time of writing. You knew from my previous analysis that the currency pair could register a larger drop. DXY's rally forced the USD to appreciate versus its rivals.
Fundamentally, the ISM Manufacturing PMI, ISM Manufacturing Prices, and Construction Spending indicators reported better than expected data yesterday, that's why the USD rallied. Today, the Eurozone CPI Flash Estimate and Core CPI Flash Estimate came in line with expectations, while Final Manufacturing PMI and German Final Manufacturing PMI came in better than expected.
On the other hand, the USD was punished by the JOLTS Job Openings and by Factory Orders figures.
Technically, the price dropped below 1.0964 former low after retesting the broken uptrend line. Still, the currency pair could increase again after poor US economic data. It has dropped as much as 1.0942 today, registering a new low, but it has failed to stay below the weekly S1 (1.0950).
The uptrend line and the downtrend line represent the immediate resistance levels. As long as it stays below these obstacles, the EUR/USD pair could resume its drop.
Coming back below the S1 (1.0950) and making a new lower low, a bearish closure below 1.0942 activates further drop and represents a bearish signal.
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